The Education Policy Institute (EPI) has published new analysis examining the latest teacher recruitment figures and teacher supply projections.
You can download the paper in full here.
Key points from the analysis
– The Department for Education projects pupil to teacher ratios in secondary schools will increase from 14.5 to 16.0 over the next decade. The current ratio is already above international averages.
– Improving working conditions is crucial to attracting and retaining teachers. As recently highlighted by the School Teachers’ Review Body (STRB), continued pay restraint makes this more difficult. A 1% limit implies salaries falling by 5% relative to average earnings between now and 2019-20.
– Government targets for increasing the uptake of EBacc subjects imply an increase of 78% in the number of teachers required to join schools to teach modern foreign languages in 2019-20.
– Continuing to increase teacher training bursaries could represent poor value for money. The marginal cost per additional trainee of a £1,000 increase in bursaries could be as high as £60,000 some subjects.